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Big Noise in the Mitten State: Part 4 - Gesundheit 911

by rcs1

Cross-posted from Tort Deform

By Professor Henry Greenspan

It came as a shock.  Everyone anticipated that Pfizer would make significant cut-backs.   But when the company announced in late January that it would be closing down all their Michigan facilities, and particularly the large Global Research and Development Center in Ann Arbor, we were completely taken by surprise.

"Pfizer's gut punch" proclaimed The Ann Arbor News.  $13 million in tax revenues.   2,500 jobs.  $4 million in charitable donations.  People said: "It's like the Twin Towers collapsing here." "A crater opened and swallowed everything up." "It's like a death in the family."


commentary :: :: :: buzz-it!
To understand the impact, you need to go beyond the numbers.  The Pfizer labs take up a campus of their own occupying a very large patch of the north side of town.   When the "footprint" was expanded, only six years ago, there was celebration all around.  "It's a win, win, win situation" proclaimed the Director of the Labs and the President of the University and the Mayor of Ann Arbor.   That was reality until last week.  When "win, win, win" became "sayonara."

So far, most of the analysis--local and beyond--has been on target. The dried-up pipeline, the fast-approaching loss of patent on drugs that make up 40% of Pfizer's annual sales, have been accurately described.   What happened to our town, and our state, was the perfect refraction of the "blockbuster" business model that Pfizer, like all the major pharmaceutical companies, has followed.   In essence, we became generic.

In the first days after the news, there was sympathy and sadness.  People tried to support Pfizer's employees, many of whom had come to Michigan to work in the company.  They had bought homes, raised families, gotten involved.  Others had been here a long time.   They had been part of the many other Michigan drug companies - Upjohn, Pharmacia, Parke Davis, and Warner Lambert - that had been absorbed by Pfizer.  

Pfizer itself has said different things about their fate.  Initially, the word was that "up to 70%" would be offered jobs elsewhere in the company.   Of course, "up to" can mean, well, "up to."  Then there was a statement that perhaps 1,000 would be offered positions--less than half.   Most recently, the company said that "a significant number" would be receiving offers.  On one side, headhunters worked feverishly.  On the other side, a guillotine in slow motion.

The workers themselves were quiet.  Indeed, outside of private conversations, they were entirely silent.   The normally reticent Ann Arbor News came out with a page-one article:  "Workers are Afraid to Speak."  The reporter wrote: "'My spouse,' said a member of one Pfizer household, 'would rather die than speak with you.'  It's a reaction News staffers have encountered over and over since last week's announcement that the city's largest private employer would walk away from its Plymouth Road labs: 'We can't talk.'"  (1) The reporter made clear that this was not the silence of shock or sadness or a need for privacy.  It was the silence of fear.   And it was a silence commanded.

In the meantime, the political machine has not been silent.  Even while the body was still warm, the Republican Majority Leader of the State Senate suggested that Pfizer's decision had to do with the possibility that our unique drug shield law would be rescinded.   The Chamber of Commerce has been quick to echo the word.  And what was first spoken with hesitancy has become a vicious and vociferous chorus.   "It's the fault of the Democrats.  It's the fault of the lawyers.  It's the fault of Debbie Stabenow."   It's the fault of everyone in Michigan who ever said anything critical of the drug industry in general, and anything in favor of rescinding immunity in particular.   A business model  doomed to fail - and so predicted everywhere from the Chemical & Engineering News to Forbes (2)(3) - became the fault of everyone who failed to remain silent.

The facilities on Plymouth Road are now Survivor Island.  Soon, the mother ship will come and take the lucky among the silent ones to Connecticut or California.  These are not states known for "tort reform."  And the obvious lesson is that ten years of absolute drug industry immunity in Michigan have been accompanied by higher drug prices, fewer new drugs, a decline in pharmaceutical industry jobs, personal tragedies, and - ultimately - economic cataclysm.

None of that will silence the accusers.  A recent full-page ad paid for by the Michigan Chamber of Commerce in response to the real possibility of rescinding immunity (more on that in the next installment) invoked the demonology of "greedy personal injury lawyers" four times in as many sentences.   Armies of pro-immunity lobbyists carry armfuls of disinformation.   And the more the legislative tide turns against them, the shriller they become. Given all that has happened, what was once outrageous has become simply pathetic.

Meanwhile, the lights go out on the north side of town.  After the last one flickers and dies, we may hear different things than we have so far.   It is possible we will learn a good deal.

Previous Mitten State Entries

Part 1
Part 2
Part 3

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Because of the weakness of the dollar making the Airbus too expensive in export markets, I have just been listening to the announcement of 3,500 French job losses, 3500 German job losses, 1,600 UK job losses and 400 Spanish job losses and .....some others around Europe (Figures approximate).

With Greenspan's veiled warning (somewhat over stated in the media but none-the-less a warning), I feel the need to tighten belts is getting ever closer.

I know nothing about the Pfizer situation. The balance between patent life and generic licensing of drugs is an absolute fundamental in long-term investment decisions by pharmaceutical companies and if it goes wrong in the calculations by one of them it can have the effects that are being seen in Michigan.

The hardest thing for people to understand outside the industry is the knife edge balance between a pharmaceutical company making huge profits and suddenly being unable to fund the vast research and development costs of sustaining its future competitiveness.

Total closure of the type being described is  very unusual, however. If a complete research establishment is involved it suggests that something has gone seriously wrong in the direction that has been taken in the development stream of new drugs - which is the greatest determinant of the ability of a pharma company to survive.

Worrying.

I refrain, however, from entering into a discussion of "Big Pharma" on progressive left blogs as it is too full of knee jerk reactions and insensitive to the needs to nurture one of the biggest success stories of US innovation.

The only comment I will make with certainty, however, is that the fight for tort reform will not have been a particularly significant determinant in the decision regarding the Ann Arbour facilities, I say that based on my closeness to policy-making in large multinational pharmaceutical companies. So any accusations aimed at our colleagues who have worked so assiduously to get these measures reviewed is misplaced.

by Welshman on Wed Feb 28, 2007 at 10:42:36 AM EST

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