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Katrina-style Disaster, Potential for Hostage Crisis Created in Lebanon Rampage

by rcs1

promoted, slight formatting changes -- cho

I got the letter below with the mail this morning. I've shortened it, by cutting off the second half, and I've removed the links to atrocity pictures. I'm sure everyone will forgive that.

Please be aware, the information on the destruction of Lebanon's transportation and related infrastructure is not fully verified. This is a first hand account, but one which substantiates and which coheres with what is coming over CNN, and so on. Maybe some of you have ways of checking it.

According to Lebanese and European press accounts there are probably more than 150,000 foreigners in Lebanon, of them 40,000 are Canadians, 34,000 Phillipinos, 25,000 US, 20,000 UK, 25,000 Australians, 17,000 French. These numbers mean a Katrina magnitude disaster in the making, but if hostilities continue, it may be de facto hostage crisis or crises, scattered around the country in pockets, along with the Lebanese they live among. They are not all in one place.

More Below.


commentary :: :: :: buzz-it!
I'm putting the letter on here mainly because of what's going on with the foreigners. Not because I'm not interested in the Lebanese. I think it may be a relatively efficient way of getting the situation relieved, if enough fuss is made.

You all probably know the Israelis told the Aussies they wouldn't lift their blockade, they told the US the same. The French got a few hundred out. The Swiss a few tens, their embassy is besieged. 15,000 Americans are registered with the Embassy out of an estimated 25,000.

Compared with the magnitude of what is going on the proposed responses are pathetically lilliputian. The timeliness and urgency communicated as astoundingly non-existent as anything in the early days of Katrina. The virtual psychotic disassociation of this administration's dealing with what goes on in the real world, rather than in their image in the "between the ears" world has become a common place.

Read through what Israel has done to roads, bridges and stuff. None of these people, Lebanese or foreign, will be going anywhere in significant numbers, without major changes in the situation.

That is what makes this a potential Katrina. With one ship carrying 700 to 10,000 passengers, it will take 2 weeks to move significant numbers of the Americans. Israel's military says what they want to do will take weeks. Lebanon and the foreigners do not have weeks, I don't think.

It looks to me like we may be facing the potential for either a disaster on the scale of Katrina, or what may become a new hostage crisis with far more people involved than the one in Teheran in 1979-80. Why, well those responsible for prepping Bush for his decisions again didn't make clear enough what a mess he was about to walk into. Right to self-defense. Sure. What about the Americans you're responsible for?

Bush and Hillary Clinton weren't briefed on these unfolding consequences, I don't suppose. But these kind of effects, freezing Lebanese and foreigner in place, must have been known ahead of time, somewhere, one would think.

It looks like we might be moving into a new, for want of a better word, ball-game, in the mid east.

Cruise Ships and credit cards? Hello! Carnival Cruises Anyone? With 150,000 or more affected, it will need a sufficiently large and protected naval force to move them. It has to be deployed as a relief operation, not a military operation, because the locals may not be too friendly after the last few days. Invading Lebanon should not be on the schedule right now, because of the large numbers of lives, of from all over the world have to be safe-guarded.

From: "Rania Masri"

Dear friends,

Thank you all for your letters of concern.  Yes, I am in Lebanon, and,
yes, I am safe, as safe as one can be when one's country is under
attack.

I appeal to you all: we need your voices of outrage to be heard.

Since Wednesday, we have been under vicious, unjustified attack, and
the attacks have been intensifying.

Vicious. Perhaps you have not heard the news because the western news
has not been reporting it.  Perhaps you have seen the pictures because
the western news is not printing the pictures (the media has access to
the pictures, but is choosing not to print them).

As for the attacks, the level of infrastructural damage exceeds that of the 1982
Israeli invasion:

  • Every airport has been attacked and rendered unfit for travel.
    The main airport (our only commerical airport) has been attacked
    several times over several days.  The smaller military airports, none
    of which were in use for years, have also been attacked and rendered
    useless.
  • Every port from the south to the north has been attacked by the
    Israelis.  For the first time, the port of Jounieh was bombed.  (Which
    opens up the rather narrow question: how can the Americans, French,
    British, and Italians -- all of whom have called for the evacuation of
    their citizens -- evacuate their citizens?)
  • Several major gas stations and electrical stations have been
    destroyed.  There is a rumor that every major gas station in the
    country is under threat.
  • The major bridges in the country have been destroyed.  We are
    all hesitant to cross over any bridge for the fear that it could be
    the next target.
  • The main arteries of the country have been destroyed -- from the
    south to the north. What does this mean? This means that travel
    between main cities throughout Lebanon is physically impossible.
    One cannot leave the country to Syria -- nor, and more importantly,
    can one move safely from one area to another, from one city to
    another, and, in the South, from one part of the village to another
    part of the village.  There is only one main route that is still open
    (the highway from nothern Beirut to Tripoli), and since last night,
    Israel has been threatening to bomb the tunnel in Chekka, thus making
    it impossible to go - on the main road - from Jbeil/Byblos to the
    northern areas, and vice versa.  (some basic geography of Lebanon,
    from the central Lebanon to the north, the main cities are:  Beirut,
    Jounieh, Jbeil/Byblos, Batroun, Chekka, Tripoli.   This besieging of
    villages is especially vicious in the South. The Israeli army has been
    calling upon villages in the South to evacuate yet they have destroyed
    the roads on which they can evacuate - so the message is clear: leave
    your homes and we will kill you, stay in your homes and we will kill
    you. They have done both.
  • What does all this mean?
    • Israel is attempting to scare the Lebanese into submission
      by forcing us to remain in the country and not "escape."  This is
      terorism - in its purest form.
    • Israel is attempting to besiege every major community in
      the country, to isolate us so that eventually we will "surrender" when
      there is a lack of food and medicine and other basic necessities.
      Already, numerous villages and the major city of Sour/Tyre have spoken
      about the lack of basic goods.

- Rania Masri
El Koura, Lebanon

Display:
http://www.prospect.org/weblog/2006/07/post_880.html#003571

WHY IT'S TAKING SO LONG. A reliable source tells me that the reason the United States has been so slow in evacuating its citizens from Lebanon is that the public diplomacy (i.e., P.R.) issues raised by evacuating under Israeli assault are so complicated. Individuals within the State Department, I am told, have been reluctant to create an impression that the Israeli assault on Lebanon is as bad as it is or that civilian U.S. citizens are being threatened by U.S. ally Israel. If a conflict this severe had broken out in, say, Indonesia, the American embassy would have been shut down the next day and its personnel and families rapidly brought to safety. That's how things normally work. (See Laura Rozen on the evacuation from Albania here.) In this case, however, the diplomatic message sent by shutting down the U.S. embassy in the face of Israeli bombing would have contradicted the U.S. government message of support for the Israeli mission against Hezbollah terrorists, which, when added to the general concern within lower-level diplomatic circles about ever creating a Fall of Saigon-style visual for the news media, have led the Americans to be slower than they could have been about getting U.S. citizens out of harm's way.

(So does Bush work for the American's or Israeli's?) It's all about saving face....my God what can Bush be thinking.....even cowboys take care of their horses!

by avahome on Wed Jul 19, 2006 at 04:08:45 PM EST

I don't have time to do much digging until after work.  Hope one of our researchers can look to see if they find anything about this letter to help verify or debunk the info.  

by standingup on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 01:53:48 PM EST
Here is just one of many references I've found to Rania Masri, Ph.D.:

Rania Masri, Ph.D., is currently an assistant professor in the Faculty of Sciences at the University of Balamand (Lebanon) and the assistant director of the Institute for Environmental Studies at the University of Balamand.

Alternativeradio.org also has a biography with an image, as well as two archived broadcasts, "Privatizing War" and "Iraq War & Occupation: Consequences for the Middle East".
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
by wanderindiana on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 05:38:10 PM EST

Would it help if I copied all that machine language stuff from the email header?

by Chris White on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 06:12:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If you like, you can forward the message to me, or copy the header info and send it to

wanderindiana at sbcglobal dot net

and I can probably determine just where the message came from, out of respect for the sender's privacy.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
by wanderindiana on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 07:16:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I just sent you a reply.

From what I can see, there's a very strong possibility this is a legitimate message from Rania Masri. The header information does not lead directly back to her, but leads directly to an activist and mailing lists that would be consistent with Masri's documented associations.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
by wanderindiana on Wed Jul 19, 2006 at 11:16:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

wanderindiana:  would you and/or intranets consider doing a "research" commentary here on the community site, maybe under CJournalism section, on how to check header information??

Just a thought...

by Cho on Wed Jul 19, 2006 at 11:53:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

A timeline of efforts to evacuate Americans from Lebanon, McClatchy Newspapers.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
by wanderindiana on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 09:58:19 PM EST
instead of better.  Cooper Anderson just announced (unconfirmed) that Israel has ground troops in southern Lebanon.  

by standingup on Tue Jul 18, 2006 at 10:49:03 PM EST
link
Israel struck Lebanon from the air and made pinpoint attacks across the border today as thousands awaited evacuation and the death toll mounted in a conflict that has entered its second week with no end in sight.

The Israeli army said ground troops crossed into southern Lebanon to attack Hezbollah guerrilla outposts in "restricted" attacks while its jets pounded the group's Beirut stronghold and the Shweifat area outside the capital.

Wish it was better than this.

by Terri Emerick on Wed Jul 19, 2006 at 02:19:13 AM EST

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