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Timeline of Reactions to Katrina News

by rcs1

[editor's note, by Cho] front paged to make it easier to contribute to this time line effort.

Update [2005-9-5 18:2:42 by Cho]: ePluribusMedia members have several timeline projects going, focusing on different aspects of last week's tragedy. rba's work here is on official announcements and reactions. 4Fx has one in progress on the events Katrina Disaster Timeline -- Revision 01 and another zooming in on just what was happening with the Hospitals in Trouble -- Timeline. Please add any information you may have to these three fine efforts.


This is the place to start gathering time-specific information regarding all actions/reactions to the news that a hurricane was approaching (24 - 28 August); then the same for the period 29 Aug - 3 Sep.   The focus is on official action(s), not flood damage.

Simple rules:  put the date (time if you have it) before the title;  and please no links in the body (put them at the top or bottom of your comments).

I think the best way to approach this in the initial stages is by geographic location. FEMA has information resources on declaration/information for each State government; and each region within a State (large metro areas) should have at least one good newspaper. If you find location-specific information (county, parish, city) please put that with the date/time in the comment title.

Update [2005-9-3 18:35:33 by rba]: Edited out (too long) NWS Hurricane Bulletins.


commentary :: :: :: buzz-it!
[All references are from the NHC Hurricane Katrina Archive; and NOLA.com Katrina page.]  NOLA is the online version of the New Orleans Times-Picayune.  NHC entries edited for length.

First notices appear as Katrina grows, moving towards Florida:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS

By Saturday the storm was clearly headed for the Gulf Coast:
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA THREATENS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...A HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

NOLA Warning on Saturday:

KATRINA PUTS END TO LULL
STORM'S WESTWARD PATH PUTS N.O. ON EDGE
Saturday, August 27, 2005
By Mark Schleifstein
Staff writer

Hurricane Katrina gained strength and took aim at the Gulf Coast on Friday night, with a path forecast to hit southeast Louisiana on Monday as a Category 4 storm with top winds of 132 mph.
= = = =
 Gov. Kathleen Blanco declared a state of emergency late Friday, making it easier to implement emergency procedures, including evacuations, if necessary.

 New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin said he will make a decision about evacuations and other emergency procedures today about noon.

 "If it continues to shift to the west, then we know we'll have to take action," Nagin said Friday night.

 The Louisiana Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness already had mobilized its crisis action team and has plans to activate its Baton Rouge emergency operations center today at 7:30 a.m., spokesman Mark Smith said.

 State officials convened a conference call with emergency preparedness directors from southeastern Louisiana parishes Friday at 5 p.m. to update officials on the forecast and state plans, Smith said.

 "But we're in a state of flux," he said. "Nobody's real sure exactly what Katrina is going to do."
= = = =
 Avila said forecasters are having trouble predicting just how strong the storm will be when it makes landfall.
= = = =
 On Friday night, Nagin said he was alarmed about the storm's potential path and the lack of time to fully prepare for such a large storm.

 ".... city officials would not be able to make a decision about evacuations and other emergency measures until today, giving residents scant time to prepare. The state plan calls for evacuation plans to be put in place 50 hours before a storm hits...."
= = = =
 Meanwhile, on Grand Isle, a Police Department dispatcher said late Friday afternoon that no special preparations had begun on the island.
= = = =
 In St. Bernard and Plaquemines parishes, emergency officials warned residents to stay alert.

 "We have notified our essential personnel that they may have to report back to work as early as Sunday," St. Bernard Chief Administrative Officer Danny Menesses said.

 In St. Tammany Parish, public works employees cleaned storm drains and ditches Friday to prevent clogging in heavy rains. Crews in the parish Emergency Operations Center in Covington were on standby.

 "We are as prepared as we can be at this point," Dexter Accardo, director of the St. Tammany Office of Emergency Preparedness, said in a news release. "We will continue to monitor the storm closely and will take other actions as needed."

The Mayor of New Orleans and the Governor both knew they were already out of time. But note that no one had calculated the track, time-to-landfall, and intensity of the storm correctly. No one. By the time the realization hit, that 50-hour evacuation window had shrunk to less than 18 hours. Sunday it Finally Sinks In:

KATRINA TAKES AIM
Sunday, August 28, 2005
By Bruce Nolan
Staff writer

More than a million people were jolted out of their weekend routines and spent a tense, hot Saturday preparing for a surprising Hurricane Katrina, which curved unexpectedly toward the low-lying city and is expected to make landfall Monday morning.
= = = =
President Bush declared a state of emergency in Louisiana, authorizing federal emergency management officials to release federal aid and coordinate disaster relief efforts.

By mid-afternoon, officials in Plaquemines, St. Bernard, St. Charles, Lafourche, Terrebonne and Jefferson parishes had called for voluntary or mandatory evacuations.

New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin followed at 5 p.m., issuing a voluntary evacuation.

Nagin said late Saturday that he's having his legal staff look into whether he can order a mandatory evacuation of the city, a step he's been hesitant to do because of potential liability on the part of the city for closing hotels and other businesses.

"Come the first break of light in the morning, you may have the first mandatory evacuation of New Orleans," Nagin told WWL-TV.
= = = =
For tens of thousands of residents, the storm's turn toward New Orleans was a jolt.

Many stopped paying attention to Katrina when a Friday forecast showed it curving into the Florida Panhandle.
= = = =
"Ladies and gentlemen, this is not a test. This is the real deal," Nagin said at his news conference a little later.

Nagin said the city would open the Superdome as a special-needs shelter today at 8 a.m. He advised anyone planning to stay there to bring food, drinks and other comforts, such as folding chairs, as if planning to go camping.

Citizens must call 568-3200 to verify that they qualify for admittance to the shelter, city officials said. Phone lines will be open at 7 a.m.

Nagin spokeswoman Tami Frazier stressed that the mayor does not want citizens to plan on staying in the Dome -- instead, they should make arrangements to leave the city if possible.

"We don't anticipate having to turn people away," Frazier said. "But (staying in the Dome) should not be a situation that you're counting on."

Nagin added, "No weapons, no large items, and bring small quantities of food for three or four days, to be safe."
= = = =
Though no curfew had been issued by Saturday evening, New Orleans Police Chief Eddie Compass said he and Nagin likely will call a curfew and station police officers at local shopping centers to prevent looting.

"Looters will be dealt with severely and harshly and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law," he said.

Entergy Corp. officials said the company has geared up for disaster with about 7,500 lineman and tree-trimmers ready to mobilize.

Company officials said they were arranging for out-of-state utility crews to help repair what is expected to be extensive damage to the area's power grid. But it warned that many crews it relies on are committed to repairing Katrina's damage in south Florida, perhaps prolonging repairs after the storm's Louisiana passage.

So began the long day's journey into nightmare.  As much as you can, from whatever verifiable sources you can, the goal is to document the event.  Thanks.

Display:
Hurricane Katrina Chronology and Fema related timeline from Kevin Drum.

Credit to pb for the reference.

by standingup on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 09:30:16 PM EST

Drum too partisan.  Drew's diary is a good start, but needs de-fanging.  No room for partisanship, blame, or finger-pointing.  (Damn tempting tho').  

I think we'll find a "common-mode failure" at the heart of this:  One component breaks down, leading to another, and another, cascading to failure.  Right now I'd guess that was Monday morning when the comm system failed.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 09:43:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Parking this here:

For questions or comments, contact:

  Matt Farlow    (225) 925-7420    farlow@ohsep.louisiana.gov

   John Buie          (225) 925-7428     jbuie@ohsep.louisiana.gov

Communications and Emergency Management are synonymous. Each emergency scenario has its own unique requirements. This means that our Agency; entrusted with the responsibility to protect the citizens of Louisiana during times of need, must remain flexible. We strive to seek out and deploy the latest tools and technologies that provide for efficient, cost effective, multiple layers of reliable communications.

Our needs reach throughout the state and beyond. We must be able to pass critical information to all of the Parishes, State Agencies and other Partner organizations located within Louisiana as well as communicate with the surrounding States, and Federal agencies. We do this in many ways. The traditional methods such as telephone, fax and basic radio have been very instrumental, but we can't stop there.

Radio
Communications is usually the key element as well as the most difficult element to insure during disasters. Continuing to communicate is a constant goal of this Agency. Louisiana has a 800MHZ trunked radio system in place and it has performed well. The system has statewide coverage utilizing a repeater network maintained by the Louisiana State Police. This not only provides voice messaging; but in cooperation with the Louisiana Civil Air Patrol (LACAP), gives us an additional medium for receiving imagery. One example of such use, was during Tropical Storm Isidore. Pictures of damage were sent from LACAP aircraft in the field, utilizing 800MHZ portable radios, to the State Emergency Operations Center (EOC) in Baton Rouge.

Satellite and Wireless
Satellite communications has in the past been expensive. Today with the advances in technology, we are able to move into these areas as well. We have a satellite communications system in place, with access from all Parishes. This office also utilizes satellite information feeds from the Data Transmission Network (DTN) Weather and satellite television that supplements more traditional wired feeds.

These are the large systems, but cellular and wireless technology as a whole is increasingly more applicable and critical to our operations

IP/Internet
The Internet provides many opportunities for our organization. One technology currently being utilized is IP Telephony to select locations. Another solution for the future is web based video.

Amateur Radio
An important element in contingency planning is the Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service (RACES) organization. These are volunteer amateur radio operators who are dedicated to providing emergency communications to Louisiana in times of extraordinary need.

Emergency Alert System (EAS)
The EAS system provides a means of disseminating timely emergency warnings/information to the citizens of Louisiana through existing media outlets such as radio and television stations.

Other
Secure FAX and Video, non-secure video and telephone conferencing are all tools currently utilized for providing and receiving critical information to our partners, decision makers and those that we support.

Another important tool are hotlines to the three nuclear plants that effect Louisiana.

*

Emergency Alert System (EAS) Fact Sheet   
*

DTN - Link
*

Louisiana Emergency Alert System (EAS) Plan      *     FCC - Emergency Alert System (EAS) - Link
*

National Warning System (NAWAS) Facts    *     Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service (RACES) - Link

  Related Information

Federal Communications Commission (FCC)
FEMA
Louisiana Public Broadcasting Emergency Alert System (EAS) Website
Parish Emergency Preparedness Office Phone Numbers
Civil Air Patrol
Repeater World HQ

Source:  Louisiana OHSEP:  Communications

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 09:50:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

we want to keep this neutral, non-partisan, non-idealogical and objective.    However, where dkos and Drum are using and citing good primary sourcing, where is the harm or foul?  

by standingup on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 10:00:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]


by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 10:07:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Bush's Disastrous Response: A Timeline

could we make joint effort of it, recruit Rp http://rp.dailykos.com/ here?


by luaptifer on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:13:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Checked the timeline, and Drew's dKospedia entry.  Rp has no e-mail address listed, so would have to post in the comments.  It's much more quiet here.  Gotta stay non-partisan.  Keep saying it:   this is a "cascading failure" in which all the players get some blame.

Keep in mind FEMA has a total of 4000 employees, 2500 to deploy.  Many decisions points passed without action - at every level.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:11:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

boatloads of hits as possible references or checks:

Katrina+timeline


by luaptifer on Mon Sep 05, 2005 at 11:01:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

http://www.forbes.com/2005/08/30/safestplaces-insurance-realestate-cx_sc_0830home_ls.html

Of all the publications, this is the one the CEOs read (CXO's actually).  I was amazed to see this.

Might have some granuals of info in it worth quoting as it is an MSM that is trusted by business types.

by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 03:34:06 PM EST

Nice grab.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 03:43:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Release Date: August 27, 2005
Release Number: HQ-05-169

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Michael D. Brown, Under Secretary of Homeland Security for Emergency Preparedness and Response, today announced that Federal resources are being allocated to support emergency protective response efforts response efforts in the parishes located in the path of Hurricane Katrina.
= = = = = = = =
In addition, federal funds will be available for public safety debris removal and emergency protective measures at 75 percent of approved costs.

All declarations are worded exactly the same.  Very specific lists of counties/parishes, no doubt since expanded.

SEE:  FEMA Media Page.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 04:41:56 PM EST

Release Date: August 28, 2005
Release Number: HQ-05-171

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- The head of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security's Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced today that federal disaster aid has been made available for Florida to supplement state and local recovery efforts in the area struck by Hurricane Katrina on August 24.
= = = = = = =
For a period of up to 72 hours, Federal funding is available at 100 per cent of the total eligible costs for emergency protective measures, including direct Federal assistance. The period of up to 72 hours at 100 per cent excludes debris removal.

This declaration was issued after-the-fact.

Source:  FEMA August Archive.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 04:59:16 PM EST

Do you want the one and only press release from the Mayor's office?

by standingup on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 05:26:15 PM EST
Trying to track what they said vs. what they did.  Got to compare w/published accounts.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 05:33:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Posted on Sat, Aug. 27, 2005

Katrina could leave damage across all of Mississippi

TIMOTHY R. BROWN

Associated Press

JACKSON, Miss. - Hurricane Katrina could plow through Mississippi beginning as early as Monday, with storm force winds raking a path of destruction even into northern areas of the state, officials warned on Saturday.
= = = = = = =
Gov. Haley Barbour declared a state of emergency on Saturday and forecasters predicted the storm to make landfall anywhere from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana.

Noted that no local reporters bylined.

Source:  SunHerald.  Knight-Ridder; serves Biloxi & Gulfport.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 05:37:24 PM EST

Posted Saturday, Aug. 27, 2005

City Of New Orleans

Mayors Office of Communications

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Mayor Nagin Urges Citizens to Prepare For Hurricane Katrina

(New Orleans, LA) In response to the potential threat of Hurricane Katrina, Mayor C. Ray Nagin is urging all citizens to begin preparations now for the coming storm. Mayor Nagin will hold the next press briefing at 5 p.m. today in the Mayor's Press Room, second floor of City Hall.

"Although the track could change, forecasters believe Hurricane Katrina will affect New Orleans," said Mayor Nagin. "We may call for a voluntary evacuation later this afternoon or tomorrow morning to coincide with the instatement of contraflow. This will give people more options to leave the area. However, citizens need to begin preparing now so they will be ready to leave when necessary. Do everything to prepare for a regular hurricane, but treat this one differently because it is headed our way. This is not a test."

....

Mayor Nagin is working with Gov. Kathleen Blanco and other City, local and State officials are watching the storm's path and working together to make decisions that affect citizens. Gov. Blanco has declared a state of emergency in Louisiana, which provides city government with additional authority and improved access to resources needed when responding to elevated threats, such as natural disasters.

A state of emergency has been declared for the City of New Orleans.

Source:  City of New Orleans

by standingup on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 05:56:23 PM EST

Florida Prepares for Katrina as Storm Strengthens (Update1)
Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Tropical Storm Katrina headed toward the southeastern Florida coast today and may intensify into a hurricane before coming ashore tomorrow morning.
= = = = = = =
Florida Governor Jeb Bush declared a state of emergency this morning, said Florida Emergency Management Division spokeswoman Leigh-Ann Dawes.

Florida seems well-organized.  Years of experience?

Source:  Bloomberg.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 06:03:15 PM EST

Not sure if you wanted this, but it is the official request from Governor Blanco to President Bush on Saturday for FEMA assistance.  I clipped out all the middle stuff, but it is a pretty explicite request, designating responsibility and listing of what is needed etc. based on the experience and expenditures of Ivan, Ilsidore and Lila
August 28, 2005

The President
The White House
Washington, DC

Through:  Regional Director
FEMA Region VI
800 North Loop 288
Denton, Texas 76709

Dear Mr. President:

Under the provisions of Section 401 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, 42 U.S. C  5121-5206 (Stafford Act), and implemented by 44CFR 206.36, I request that you declare an expedited major disaster for the State of Luisiana as Hurricane Katrina, A Category V Hurricane approaches our coast south of New Orleans; beginning on August 28, 2005 and continuing.  The affected areas include all southeastern parishes including the City of New Orleans directly impacted by the brunt of the storm and the mid state and northern parishes accepting the thousands of citizens forced to evaluate from the impacted areas directly affected by Hurricane Katrina.

...

I have designated Mr. Arthur E. Jones as the state coordinating officer for this request.  He will work with the Federal Emergency Management Agency in damage assessment and may provide further evidence and justification on my behalf.

Signed

Kathleen Babineaux  Blanco
Governor

The full letter is here:
http://gov.louisiana.gov/Disaster%20Relief%20Request.pdf




by Cho on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 07:21:08 PM EST
At some point I'll try to compile another commentary w/dates in list form.  Obvious that during the critial hours from Friday night until Monday morning they literally didn't know what was coming.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 09:30:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Governor Blanco declared state of emergency on Thursday the 26th:

Date: 8/26/2005

Contact:Denise Bottcher or Roderick Hawkins at 225-342-9037

GOVERNOR BLANCO DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY

BATON ROUGE, LA--Governor Kathleen Babineaux Blanco today issued Proclamation No. 48 KBB 2005, declaring a state of emergency for the state Louisiana as Hurricane Katrina poses an imminent threat, carrying severe storms, high winds, and torrential rain that may cause flooding and damage to private property and public facilities, and threaten the safety and security of the citizens of the state of Louisiana The state of emergency extends from Friday, August 26, 2005, through Sunday, September 25, 2005, unless terminated sooner.


Link to the Louisiana State Gov site:

http://www.gov.state.la.us/Press_Release_detail.asp?id=973

by Cho on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 09:47:50 PM EST
the above should be August 26, Friday

by Cho on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 10:11:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think there's enough information to determine the reason everything went, um, South.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 10:28:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bejebus:

Police Struggle With Communications In Katrina's Wake
Bruce Meyerson Fri Sep 2, 3:22 PM ET
When the phones don't work, improvise. That's what emergency responders and civilians were forced to do in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, which trashed the telephone system on the Gulf Coast of Louisiana and Mississippi.

Police in New Orleans, their main communications system knocked out, have been taking turns talking on a single radio channel with their walkie talkies. The Mississippi National Guard even resorted to ancient battlefield tactics, sending runners back and forth among commanders with information.

And a local sheriff, Sid Hebert of Iberia Parish, helped keep an ambulance company handling medical evacuations across southern Louisiana running by loaning it a portable command center.

This one's a must read.  Mr. Meyerson Explains It All.

Source:  AP via Yahoo News, 3 Sep.

by rba on Sat Sep 03, 2005 at 11:04:18 PM EST

Here:
The Big Disconnect
This is a very good comparison of official statements and man on the street/journalist accounts.

by DEFuning on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:02:50 AM EST
FEMA issued Situation Reports all along.  Good for comparisons.

27 Aug report.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:26:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Posted on Sun, Aug. 28, 2005
As many as 300,000 may get on roads

By QUINCY C. COLLINS

Mississippi Emergency Management officials are urging Coast residents to evacuate to escape the pummeling winds of Hurricane Katrina. It's too late to avoid congested roads.

Katrina is expected to make landfall midday Monday, possibly as strong as Category 4, packing 144-mph winds.

Saturday's storm models projected Katrina directly hitting Louisiana, with South Mississippi facing the severe winds of the storm's northeast quadrant.

Gov. Haley Barbour declared a state of emergency Saturday and was preparing to activate National Guard.

Source:  Sun Herald, 28 Aug, Sun.


by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:24:36 AM EST

National Situation Update: Saturday, August 27, 2005
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).
Katrina Becomes a Category Three Hurricane, Aims Towards Northern Gulf Coast

Katrina is now a Category Three hurricane and some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Reconnaissance aircraft data indicates that the Katrina has also become a larger hurricane.
= = = = = = = =
State of Emergency Declared in Mississippi, Louisiana Due In anticipation of a possible landfall, Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour and Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco declared States of Emergency Friday

 In Louisiana, New Orleans is of particular concern because much of that city lies below sea level.
According to Gov. Blanco, Lake Pontchartrain is a very large lake that sits next to the city of New Orleans and if the hurricane winds blow from a certain direction, there are dire predictions of what may happen in the city.

Robert Latham, director of the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency, said evacuations of tourists along the coast could begin late Saturday afternoon, followed by mandatory evacuations of coastal residents on Sunday. The National Guard had been activated to help with storm preparations, he said.

The last time Mississippi or Louisiana saw landfall from a storm classified as Category 4 or stronger was in August 1969, when Hurricane Camille roared ashore with winds in excess of 155 mph, killing 143 people.

Source:  FEMA Sit Rep, 27 Aug.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:33:50 AM EST

I just can't believe their timing.  Makes you wonder how they functioned:

FEMA Region VII Moving to New Quarters

FEMA Region VII will move from its existing location to 9221 Ward Parkway, Kansas City, Mo. The actual move will occur August 24-26, 2005.

The Regional Response Coordination Center (RRCC) will be staffed to conduct normal business at the current location from August 24-26, 2005. All phones will be transferred into the RRCC during the move.

Please see the listing below for the correct phone numbers to call during the move:

August 24 to Noon on Friday, August 26, 2005

Main RRCC 816-283-7600

RRCC Fax 816-283-7601

Effective noon Friday - August 26, 2005

Main RRCC 816-221-6092

Regional Director 816-221-5680

Main FAX 816-221-2995

Effective August 29, 2005, the Regional Office will operate from the new location. All phone numbers will transition back to the existing phone numbers prior to the move. (FEMA Region VII)

Source:  FEMA Sit Rep, 24 Aug.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:39:31 AM EST



by rba on Wed Sep 07, 2005 at 01:50:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

...EYE OF KATRINA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...
= = = = = = =
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005

...CORRECTED TO REMOVE REFERENCE TO HURRICANE STATUS IN LOCATION

As it approached the Southeast Coast of Florida it was downgraded.  But it hit hard anyway on it's way to the Gulf.

Source:  NHC (26th).  

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:52:29 AM EST

From Times Picayune: Blanco requests return of Nat. Guard units from Iraq

Blanco asks for quick return of National Guard in Iraq

Gov. Kathleen Blanco Friday night called on President Bush to order the expeditious return to the state of the 256th Brigade Combat team of the National Guard which is now serving in Iraq because they are needed in Hurricane Katrina cleanup and rescue efforts.

The unit, based in Lafayette, is expected to be phased out of Iraq and return to the state in the coming weeks.

"They are urgently needed needed here at home,'' Blanco said. She told Bush that the unit is needed to become "part of the recovery efforts in their home state.''

Blanco also called on Bush to have military officials set up another base for humanitarian relief in Baton Rouge. The only one that is now in operation is in Pineville in central Louisiana.

She also asked for communications assistance for governmental agencies, including radios with higher capacity, 25 more frequencies and 1,000 additional portable radios.

"I want aerial and ground firefighting support to address the growing danger of fire,'' Blanco told Bush in the two-page letter. She also asked for a more military trucks and other vehicles as well as 175 generators and additional fuel.

Some of these are collected in the Dkos Timeline Standingup identifies above... just pulling out the official documents to include here.  

by Cho on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 09:10:43 AM EST

Somewhere (Army?) I read 100,000 Guard available, and entire military mobilized.  She's playing for the audience to some extent.  That's the problem with this.  

My criteria is simple:  would the information be acceptable if you were sitting on a panel before the Senate Homeland Security Committee?

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:18:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Referenced article from the June 2003 Civil Engineering Magazine:

According to Naomi, any concerted effort to protect the city from a storm of category 4 or 5 will probably take 30 years to complete. And the feasibility study alone for such an effort will cost as much as $8 million. Even though Congress has authorized the feasibility study, funding has not yet been appropriated. When funds are made available, the study will take about six years to complete. "That's a lot of time to get the study before Congress," Naomi admits. "Hopefully we won't have a major storm before then."
= = = = = = = =
Suhayda's model is not the only one that describes such a catastrophe. A model called SLOSH (Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes), which is used by the National Weather Service and local agencies concerned with emergency preparedness, portrays an equally grim outcome should a storm of category 5 hit New Orleans.
= = = = = = = =
Experts say a flood of this magnitude would probably shut down the city's power plants and water and sewage treatment plants and might even take out its drainage system. The workhorse pumps would be clogged with debris, and the levees would suddenly be working to keep water in the city. Survivors of the storm--humans and animals alike--would be sharing space on the crests of levees until the Corps could dynamite holes in the structures to drain the area. In such a scenario, the American Red Cross estimates that between 25,000 and 100,000 people would die.

Source:  ASCE - Civil Engineering, June 2003.  Referred to by:  USACE Search

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 10:04:46 AM EST

NGVD = National Geodetic Vertical Datum

Source:  USACE N.O.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 10:42:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Louisiana Emergency Operations Plan, Supplement 1a, Part II, Sec. A. 3:

 3.  Tidal surge, associated with the "worst case" Category 3, 4 or 5  Hurricane Scenario for the Greater New Orleans Metropolitan Area, as  determined by the National Weather Service (NWS) Sea, Lake and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) Model, could cause a  maximum inundation of 20 feet above sea level in some of the parishes  in the Region, not including tidal effects, wind waves and storm rainfall.  

Source:  LA OHSEP Plans Index Page.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 10:11:37 AM EST

Daily Kos has some timeline info being assembled. This is my first post here and don't know how to do tags but the links are below.

Diary - Bush's Disastrous Response
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2005/9/4/111017/0402

Resources (official releases from FEMA, DHS, White House, and Times-Picayune).
http://www.dailykos.com/comments/2005/9/4/111017/0402/10#10

T-P articles are not timestamped but in chronological order by day so you can get a good estimate of the timeline. T-P archives contain lots of info on parishes outside of Orleans in Metro NO.

by joejoejoe on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:02:42 PM EST

Your links are fine and mighty welcome.

It's absolutely unbelievable all the great timeline work that is going on throughout the net.  This one by rba is on the official document stuff.  Another epluribus media member is working on a timeline of just the events.

IF you want more information for the html tags here, the FAQs have how to do tags (upper right menu) and then RenaRF posted a basic HTML primer in the Public Notice section on the left.  

by Cho on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:16:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I've got some of the same links, without specifying articles.  Would be helpful to start a resource database so we could all "deposit" information.

Cho?

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:30:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

an ePMedia person and power behind TheDowningStreetMemos website and effort -- are cooking something up, but that's a tad down the road.

by Cho on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 08:32:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
AP has a timeline to use a template for fitting in new information (via The Guardian UK). Sorry for the  link again - I'm HTMilliterate:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,1280,-5253658,00.html

by joejoejoe on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:20:11 PM EST

Welcome JJJ.  We're picking up the pieces of a huge storm having come thru here in MPLS.  Quarter-sized hail, and 6.5 inches of rain, flash floods.  Brings Katrina even more close to home.  We're fine, garden is in shreds.

I'll contribute later to this list.

For now, here's a quickie tag lesson:

<  a  href  =  "  weblink  "  >  name descriptor you give it  <  /  a  >

I just doublespaced between each individual code.

by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 12:54:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

According to the FEMA site, the Urban Search and Rescue task force is "totally self-sufficient for the first 72 hours of a deployment."  

What You Didn't Know About Urban Search-and-Rescue

    * For every US&R task force, there are 62 positions. But to be sure a full team can respond to an emergency, the task forces have at the ready more than 130 highly-trained members.

    * A task force is really a partnership between local fire departments, law enforcement agencies, federal and local governmental agencies and private companies.

    * A task force is totally self-sufficient for the first 72 hours of a deployment.

    * The equipment cache used to support a task force weighs nearly 60,000 pounds and is worth about $1.4 million. Add the task force members to the cache and you can completely fill a military C-141 transport or two C130's.

    * Training requirements are intensive, to say the least. In addition to being an Emergency Medical Technician, each task force member must complete hundreds of hours of training. Specialties such as K-9 search, rescue and rigging carry their own training requirements.

    * What the task force can do:

            * Conduct physical search-and-rescue in collapsed buildings
            * Emergency medical care to trapped victims
            * Search-and-rescue dogs
            * Assessment and control of gas, electric service and hazardous materials
            * Evaluation and stabilization of damaged structures

fema.gov



by lilnubber on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:03:10 PM EST
I'm still trying to find a link to this, but it's written by George Friedman and came by way of a contact in New Mexico.  George Friedman's bona fides:  

http://www.jhuapl.edu/POW/bios/friedman.htm

Article in toto:

New Orleans: A Geopolitical Prize
By George Friedman

The American political system was founded in Philadelphia, but the American nation was built on the vast farmlands that stretch from the Alleghenies to the Rockies. That farmland produced the wealth that funded American industrialization: It permitted the formation of a class of small landholders who, amazingly, could produce more than they could consume. They could sell their excess crops in the east and in Europe and save that money, which eventually became the founding capital of American industry.

But it was not the extraordinary land nor the farmers and ranchers who alone set the process in motion. Rather, it was geography -- the extraordinary system of rivers that flowed through the Midwest and allowed them to ship their surplus to the rest of the world. All of the rivers flowed into one -- the Mississippi -- and the Mississippi flowed to the ports in and around one city: New Orleans. It was in New Orleans that the barges from upstream were unloaded and their cargos stored, sold and reloaded on ocean-going vessels. Until last Sunday, New Orleans was, in many ways, the pivot of the American economy.

For that reason, the Battle of New Orleans in January 1815 was a key moment in American history. Even though the battle occurred after the War of 1812 was over, had the British taken New Orleans, we suspect they wouldn't have given it back. Without New Orleans, the entire Louisiana Purchase would have been valueless to the United States. Or, to state it more precisely, the British would control the region because, at the end of the day, the value of the Purchase was the land and the rivers - which all converged on the Mississippi and the ultimate port of New Orleans. The hero of the battle was Andrew Jackson, and when he became president, his obsession with Texas had much to do with keeping the Mexicans away from New Orleans.

During the Cold War, a macabre topic of discussion among bored graduate students who studied such things was this: If the Soviets could destroy one city with a large nuclear device, which would it be? The usual answers were Washington or New York. For me, the answer was simple: New Orleans. If the Mississippi River was shut to traffic, then the foundations of the economy would be shattered. The industrial minerals needed in the factories wouldn't come in, and the agricultural wealth wouldn't flow out. Alternative routes really weren't available. The Germans knew it too: A U-boat campaign occurred near the mouth of the Mississippi during World War II. Both the Germans and Stratfor have stood with Andy Jackson: New Orleans was the prize.

Last Sunday, nature took out New Orleans almost as surely as a nuclear strike. Hurricane Katrina's geopolitical effect was not, in many ways, distinguishable from a mushroom cloud. The key exit from North America was closed. The petrochemical industry, which has become an added value to the region since Jackson's days, was at risk. The navigability of the Mississippi south of New Orleans was a question mark. New Orleans as a city and as a port complex had ceased to exist, and it was not clear that it could recover.

The Ports of South Louisiana and New Orleans, which run north and south of the city, are as important today as at any point during the history of the republic. On its own merit, POSL is the largest port in the United States by tonnage and the fifth-largest in the world. It exports more than 52 million tons a year, of which more than half are agricultural products -- corn, soybeans and so on. A large proportion of U.S. agriculture flows out of the port. Almost as much cargo, nearly 17 million tons, comes in through the port -- including not only crude oil, but chemicals and fertilizers, coal, concrete and so on.

A simple way to think about the New Orleans port complex is that it is where the bulk commodities of agriculture go out to the world and the bulk commodities of industrialism come in. The commodity chain of the global food industry starts here, as does that of American industrialism. If these facilities are gone, more than the price of goods shifts: The very physical structure of the global economy would have to be reshaped. Consider the impact to the U.S. auto industry if steel doesn't come up the river, or the effect on global food supplies if U.S. corn and soybeans don't get to the markets.

The problem is that there are no good shipping alternatives. River transport is cheap, and most of the commodities we are discussing have low value-to-weight ratios. The U.S. transport system was built on the assumption that these commodities would travel to and from New Orleans by barge, where they would be loaded on ships or offloaded. Apart from port capacity elsewhere in the United States, there aren't enough trucks or rail cars to handle the long-distance hauling of these enormous quantities -- assuming for the moment that the economics could be managed, which they can't be.

The focus in the media has been on the oil industry in Louisiana and Mississippi. This is not a trivial question, but in a certain sense, it is dwarfed by the shipping issue. First, Louisiana is the source of about 15 percent of U.S.-produced petroleum, much of it from the Gulf. The local refineries are critical to American infrastructure. Were all of these facilities to be lost, the effect on the price of oil worldwide would be extraordinarily painful. If the river itself became unnavigable or if the ports are no longer functioning, however, the impact to the wider economy would be significantly more severe. In a sense, there is more flexibility in oil than in the physical transport of these other commodities.

There is clearly good news as information comes in. By all accounts, the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, which services supertankers in the Gulf, is intact. Port Fourchon, which is the center of extraction operations in the Gulf, has sustained damage but is recoverable. The status of the oil platforms is unclear and it is not known what the underwater systems look like, but on the surface, the damage - though not trivial -- is manageable.

The news on the river is also far better than would have been expected on Sunday. The river has not changed its course. No major levees containing the river have burst. The Mississippi apparently has not silted up to such an extent that massive dredging would be required to render it navigable. Even the port facilities, although apparently damaged in many places and destroyed in few, are still there. The river, as transport corridor, has not been lost.

What has been lost is the city of New Orleans and many of the residential suburban areas around it. The population has fled, leaving behind a relatively small number of people in desperate straits. Some are dead, others are dying, and the magnitude of the situation dwarfs the resources required to ameliorate their condition. But it is not the population that is trapped in New Orleans that is of geopolitical significance: It is the population that has left and has nowhere to return to.

The oil fields, pipelines and ports required a skilled workforce in order to operate. That workforce requires homes. They require stores to buy food and other supplies. Hospitals and doctors. Schools for their children. In other words, in order to operate the facilities critical to the United States, you need a workforce to do it -- and that workforce is gone. Unlike in other disasters, that workforce cannot return to the region because they have no place to live. New Orleans is gone, and the metropolitan area surrounding New Orleans is either gone or so badly damaged that it will not be inhabitable for a long time.

It is possible to jury-rig around this problem for a short time. But the fact is that those who have left the area have gone to live with relatives and friends. Those who had the ability to leave also had networks of relationships and resources to manage their exile. But those resources are not infinite -- and as it becomes apparent that these people will not be returning to New Orleans any time soon, they will be enrolling their children in new schools, finding new jobs, finding new accommodations. If they have any insurance money coming, they will collect it. If they have none, then -- whatever emotional connections they may have to their home -- their economic connection to it has been severed. In a very short time, these people will be making decisions that will start to reshape population and workforce patterns in the region.

A city is a complex and ongoing process - one that requires physical infrastructure to support the people who live in it and people to operate that physical infrastructure. We don't simply mean power plants or sewage treatment facilities, although they are critical. Someone has to be able to sell a bottle of milk or a new shirt. Someone has to be able to repair a car or do surgery. And the people who do those things, along with the infrastructure that supports them, are gone -- and they are not coming back anytime soon.

It is in this sense, then, that it seems almost as if a nuclear weapon went off in New Orleans. The people mostly have fled rather than died, but they are gone. Not all of the facilities are destroyed, but most are. It appears to us that New Orleans and its environs have passed the point of recoverability. The area can recover, to be sure, but only with the commitment of massive resources from outside -- and those resources would always be at risk to another Katrina.

The displacement of population is the crisis that New Orleans faces. It is also a national crisis, because the largest port in the United States cannot function without a city around it. The physical and business processes of a port cannot occur in a ghost town, and right now, that is what New Orleans is. It is not about the facilities, and it is not about the oil. It is about the loss of a city's population and the paralysis of the largest port in the United States.

Let's go back to the beginning. The United States historically has depended on the Mississippi and its tributaries for transport. Barges navigate the river. Ships go on the ocean. The barges must offload to the ships and vice versa. There must be a facility to empower this exchange. It is also the facility where goods are stored in transit. Without this port, the river can't be used. Protecting that port has been, from the time of the Louisiana Purchase, a fundamental national security issue for the United States.

Katrina has taken out the port -- not by destroying the facilities, but by rendering the area uninhabited and potentially uninhabitable. That means that even if the Mississippi remains navigable, the absence of a port near the mouth of the river makes the Mississippi enormously less useful than it was. For these reasons, the United States has lost not only its biggest port complex, but also the utility of its river transport system -- the foundation of the entire American transport system. There are some substitutes, but none with sufficient capacity to solve the problem.

It follows from this that the port will have to be revived and, one would assume, the city as well. The ports around New Orleans are located as far north as they can be and still be accessed by ocean-going vessels. The need for ships to be able to pass each other in the waterways, which narrow to the north, adds to the problem. Besides, the Highway 190 bridge in Baton Rouge blocks the river going north. New Orleans is where it is for a reason: The United States needs a city right there.

New Orleans is not optional for the United States' commercial infrastructure. It is a terrible place for a city to be located, but exactly the place where a city must exist. With that as a given, a city will return there because the alternatives are too devastating. The harvest is coming, and that means that the port will have to be opened soon. As in Iraq, premiums will be paid to people prepared to endure the hardships of working in New Orleans. But in the end, the city will return because it has to.
Geopolitics is the stuff of permanent geographical realities and the way they interact with political life. Geopolitics created New Orleans. Geopolitics caused American presidents to obsess over its safety. And geopolitics will force the city's resurrection, even if it is in the worst imaginable place.

by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:57:29 PM EST

http://www.stratfor.com/news/archive/050903-geopolitics_katrina.php

Source of above posted comment.

by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 01:59:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Cingular Wireless Awarded Contract to Provide Wireless Priority Service for Improved Emergency Communications in Louisiana

Local emergency response personnel and community leaders to benefit from new service

    NEW ORLEANS, Nov. 10 PRNewswire -- The state of Louisiana is now among the areas in the nation to benefit from a program that will provide improved communications to emergency response personnel and community leaders.
    Cingular Wireless has been awarded a contract by the National Communications System (NCS) to provide Wireless Priority Service (WPS) to the country's authorized emergency response personnel. As part of that contract, Cingular has launched WPS throughout Louisiana, as well as other select regions of the United States.
    The initial phase of WPS deployment (covering the top 25 markets in the U.S.) is complete for 2004. Total network deployment will be complete by the summer of 2005.
= = = = = = =
    Computer Sciences Corporation, the NCS's integration contractor for the Government Emergency Telecommunications Service and the Wireless Priority Service, was responsible for the acquisition of Cingular as a participating WPS provider.

Source:  Cingular PR Newswire, 10 Nov, '04.

by rba on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 02:00:25 PM EST

http://www.rentcell.com/coverage-map-cingular.htm

by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 02:31:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
http://www.fema.gov/areyouready/hurricanes.shtm

LA - High Risk, 27 historically
MS - Medium Risk, 9 historically
AL - Medium Risk, 12 historically

Floods don't have the same layout for information.  The risk is guaged in dollars spent.

LA - Highest range
MS - Mid-range
AL - lower range

See this link "Are you ready for a flood":
http://www.fema.gov/areyouready/flood.shtm


by kfred on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 03:07:49 PM EST

http://www.dkosopedia.com/index.php/Hurricane_Katrina_Chronology

and also the epluribusmedia nodes on same timeline.

by intranets on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 07:13:54 PM EST

data, day in and out at dKos has a very brand new diary there, might be worth checking it out.  i just asked him for isight as to exactly what kind of data FEMA was getting so we might have insight into their 'interpretation' that no response was urgent, apparently.  i invited him to post there or to ePM directly.

WeatherInSite's What Else Went Wrong fresh off the presses.


by luaptifer on Sun Sep 04, 2005 at 09:41:22 PM EST

My sister in Norway asked me that, I had forgotten about them.  During the Rapid City Flood in the early 70's they were Johnny-On-The-Spot.  So here's what I found:

"Following President Bush?s federal disaster declaration, HUD began providing staff to Disaster Field Offices set up by the Federal Emergency Management Agency. HUD?s initial concern is to help meet the immediate housing needs of those whose homes have been damaged or destroyed. HUD is also reaching out to its private sector partners for assistance. HUD is contacting: top mortgage lenders about their inventory of repossessed homes; the homebuilding industry for help with building materials and supplying construction workers; its housing counseling network to assist displaced homeowners; and the manufactured housing industry about available housing stock."

This is an excerpt from a press release posted on their website, it's dated Friday, September 2nd:

http://www.hud.gov/news/release.cfm?content=pr05-111.cfm

by kfred on Mon Sep 05, 2005 at 11:28:23 AM EST

Also on HUD's website under the State of Louisiana reference guide:

"Louisiana State Homeless Conference
This conference, to be held in Shreveport September 19 - 21, will focus on tools to end homelessness. "

Gag me.

by kfred on Mon Sep 05, 2005 at 11:31:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

too ironic.. (is that the correct usage??)

by Cho on Mon Sep 05, 2005 at 12:51:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The agency is generally involved in longer term planning (as the press release indicates), and providing vouchers and shelter/housing lists to FEMA.  Immediately following the initial event, the post-emergency disaster relief teams move in.  Every insurance adjuster, both federal and private sector, have already begun to set up shop.

Keep in mind that each of these federal agencies was already involved in the battered Gulf Coast.

HUD's Katrina Page.

FEMA's Dennis Pages:

Hurricane Dennis:  Florida [10 July]

Hurricane Dennis:  Mississippi [10 July]

Hurricane Dennis:  Alabama [10 July]

Also see note above about FEMA move.

by rba on Mon Sep 05, 2005 at 02:40:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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